Showing posts with label Barack Obama. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Barack Obama. Show all posts

Saturday, March 5, 2022

Israel, USA, Russia and the crisis in the Ukraine.

Israel’s position in the crisis Putin had created in the Ukraine maybe complex, but not too complicated to understand. For the democratic countries this conflict has to end with the Ukraine free from Russian occupation, and Putin remaining in power.

Why is it so important to stand for the Ukraine?

Simple, if one democracy falls, sooner or later, all democracies fall. And of course, morally it is the right thing to do.

Why should Putin remain in power?

Simple, nukes.

To come out victorious from this crisis he does not need to conquer all of Ukraine. He wants to. Especially now, because his pride had been injured severely, due to his current setbacks. But in advance he made a contingency; securing the “independence” of the eastern provinces of Donetsk and Luhansk. With these gains he can pretend to have wone. But if his regime is threatened, a likely outcome of the military stalemate and the growing international isolation, then he might take everyone he can with him. Is he that crazy? He is crazy. Crazy enough to bomb thousands of civilians in Chechnya, Syria, and the Ukraine. Crazy enough to kill political opponents. Even when they flee to western countries. This is why the entire world has no desire to find out how much.

And that is precisely why Israel, and the rest of US allies in the Middle East, have to walk on a thin rope. Because if Putin survives, and he has to survive, whether we like it or not. Any country that opposed him, will receive Russia’s wrath. NATO has the ability to deter him. The economic giants of East Asia are not located in strategically vulnerable positions. And are too economically powerful. Russia will need them for the recovery. Israel has Russia and Iran as its northern neighbors. And the first one has on its agenda the elimination of Israel. If Russia aids the Iranian efforts in any way, things could be very bad for Israel, and its civilians.

Ignoring this is hypocritical. The prime responsibility of any Israeli government is the safety and wellbeing of its citizens. And time and time again Israel encounters criticism that forgets that. Some of it comes from surprising corners. Yes, Israel should have done more for the Ukrainian refugees, much more. But that is a separated matter; related, but separated. The point here is that president Biden gave no assurances against Russian aggression. Not to Israel, and not to the other ME allies. This is bad leadership on his part.

This hypocrisy has another level to it. It asks Israel to trust US leadership in the crisis. This is when Israel has enormous difficulties trying to trust the American leadership over the crisis of Iran’s nuclear program. The emerging deal seems worse than the one before, according to the Israeli PM, Naftali Bennet. It is a strange situation, where the stronger party acts as if it is the weaker one in the US Iran relationships. And the US policy in the Ukrainian crisis looks as a continuation of this appeasement. President Biden declared in advance that there won’t be US or NATO troops in the Ukraine, on the ground. To be clear, there are damn good reasons not to actually do that. More than one dynamic can lead to nuclear exchange. But a case can be made in favor of the will to go to the brink, and against giving it all up in advance. The will to go to the brink is why the US came on top from the Berlin crisis of 1949, and the Cuban missiles crisis of 1962. The refusal to even consider it led to the return of tyranny in Syria. A crisis, the US, and the free world lost. Lost to Russia and Iran.

What can Putin do in response to such an American move, if it had taken place?

Very little. He could have sent some of his troops to Cuba and Venezuela. These forces won’t be a match to the US forces in the region. They will put more strain his budget. And won’t be killing Ukrainians.

Biden’s actual policy towards Putin’s aggression, suggests that should a crisis erupts between Israel and Russia over the former’s support for the US and the Ukraine, Israel will be on its own. And that makes the hypocrisy of the critic even worse.

Zelensky has every right to expect support from everyone that believe in life, freedom, and sovereignty. And in everyday that passes Putin gives more and more reasons for decent people to deliver on that. But right now, the Biden policy had literally, shifted the burden of defending the free world, from the USA, to everyday people in the Ukraine. People that now have to choose between life and liberty. And that is already a defeat for liberty. Putin’s war may turn out to be the worse pyrrhic victory in history, but the free world has already lost. In Syria that policy brought ISIS to center stage. In the vast expanses of Russia and the Ukraine, Islamists of various kinds, ultra-nationalists, neo-Nazis, and neo-Bolsheviks, can find safe heavens. A multiple of Afghanistans. Shifting the blame for this from president Biden will require greater acrobatics of hypocrisy. One that won’t necessarily blame Israel. But by then it wouldn’t matter. Israel is one iota in the big mess Biden allowed Putin to create.      

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Obama's visit to Israel, a disaster to come?


By the time this will be posted on my blog president Barak Obama will be in Israel, or just about to. His long awaited, not so long awaited, necessary, not necessary visit will finally take place.
If you follow all the discussions in media, from MSNBC to Fox, the visit is not about advancing the peace process. It is about winning over the Israeli public. As Jeffrey Goldberg puts it: "Crack the Israeli code".
Why is that important?
Popularity never hearts in politics, and without the backing of a popular figure the peace process cannot gain popular support. So it is about the peace process. It is just that other US presidents did not need to do that. They always enjoyed a strong popularity among the Israeli public; especially George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. Obama on the other hand has the lowest popularity figures any serving US president ever had. Therefore, if he wants to push the peace process forwards, he need to increase his popularity among Israelis.
It is a separated discussion as to why his popularity so low. The more urgent question is, is it doable?
Yes, it is doable. Israelis like liking American presidents.
That does not mean it is going to happen. Judging from the remarks Deputy National Ssecurity advisor Ben Rhods gave to the Israeli press corps, optimism has little to hold on to.
All the damage is in this quote:

Presidant Brack Obama (right), and Deputy National Ssecurity advisor Ben Rhods (left).


"The US believes that Israel must show it is serious about its peace efforts. It must convince the general Arab public, if nothing more to maintain Israel's peace treaty with Egypt."

This statement is wrong on several levels. First it is patronizing. Friendly atmosphere cannot start with telling people they must behave themselves. Even if the patronizing is correct. The problem with this patronization is that it is neither. It is not correct it and it is not incorrect. Each side has its own ideas as to what is serious about peace and what is not serious about peace. In a peace process the peace broker is not suppose to give the two parties another reason to bicker.

And it gets worse, because the way Ben Rhods phrased his advice he already took a side in a dispute that has not happened yet!
He took the side of Egypt. This alienates Israelis because from their point of view they have already made a series of territorial concessions, with security risks attached. Some may not consider these concessions serious since the settlements continue to expand. Right or wrong this is precisely the kind of a debate a peace broker hopes to avoid.
But in peace making debates like this are nothing more than headaches. Now, these headaches are not fun, to say the least. Ask James Baker III; ask Madeleine Albright; ask Henry Kissinger. But broken peace accords are worse.

Right now Egypt is ruled by the Muslim Brotherhood. This is a popular political party that opposed the peace process vehemently. It is reality and American pressure that prevents them from breaking it. Since Ben Rhods took Egypt's side, he gave them a way out of the peace accords. With each side having its own ideas as to what 'serious about peace' is, all the Egyptian leadership has to do is to use Ben Rhods remarks as a go ahead is to constantly claim Israel is not serious about peace, back it up with mass street demonstration, which they can arrange easily. Until finally they have an excuse to break the Camp David Peace Accords. Needless to say, the Camp David Peace Accords are one the most important achievements of American foreign policy. Something both Democratic and Republican administrations worked hard to achieve and maintain.
None of these had happened yet, thankfully. All that is needed is for the most powerful man on earth to express this logic publicly. The impression from the discussions in the Israeli media is that is not going to happen. Let hope these impressions are correct since Ben Rhods is the one writing the president's speeches for president Barak Obama visit to Israel.

Friday, June 3, 2011

Osama Bin Laden is dead. Two more are left.

Osama Bin Laden is dead, and that is good, very good, but there are two more monsters remain, his deputy, Ayman Al Zawahiry and the Taliban’s top leader Mullah Omar.

Prior to the killing of Bin Laden a debate took place in MSM as to whether his Al Qaeda had any actual power left following their defeat and that of the Taliban in Afghanistan in 2002. This debate forgot the nature of their appeal in the eyes of their followers and sympathizers. To these crowds, (or sub-culture of Jihadism), these three are regarded as saints, living divine saints. It is difficult to explain this type of sainthood to the modern humanistic mindset. Suffice it to say that it is sainthood gained by bravado. It is bravado that is made from mass killings, and the ability to evade punishment for those crimes. An important and well-known ingredient of this sainthood is the PR campaign. A campaign that is loaded with Islamic motifs that serve as an excuse and glorification of those crimes, incorporated in a ‘come and catch me’ attitude - bravado.


Ayman Al-Zawahiri Mullah Omar
Ayman Al-Zawahiri & Mullah Omar
Defeating Al Qaeda means putting them in the crosshairs..


Because of this “sainthood” their death will have a complex effect on the War on Terror, but one that will benefit the fighting democracies.

There are in fact several benefits. The first one comes from the above-mentioned sainthood. This “sainthood” created a situation where every new leader rising through the ranks, like Anwar Al Awalki in Yemen, will be always under their shadow. And this is a discouragement for every glory-seeking leader. (Unless they can get local or regional political power the way Al Awalki did. This is a different incentive, which isn’t necessarily available in every region).

The second benefit is the deterrence that had been achieved as a result of killing all three of them. This deterrence sent a clear and obvious message to all Bin Laden wannabes. If your role models can be caught and killed so can you. The apparent length of this chase enhances that deterrence, because the United States comes out of it as patient, never letting hunter. And that is a third benefit.

Such an achievement means that the soviets came to the graveyard of empires to spread communism and failed. But the Americans came to Afghanistan to catch the people responsible for 9/11 and succeeded. Success is the only good way to leave Afghanistan. It is important to turn that country into a reasonably functioning state. But not at all cost. Simply put: if Afghans won’t fight for Afghanistan, no one else should. Some forces will be needed in that country to keep Afghanistan’s troubles inside Afghanistan and to intercept any renewed attempts by Al-Qaeda or any another terrorist organization to make Afghanistan their base. But these are containment operations and not securing a nation-building endeavor. What is more important is the ability to declare victory in the graveyard of empires. This will be a huge moral booster to the coalition. And even a bigger demoralizer to the enemy.


Osama Bin Laden
Osama Bin Laden,
Posing sainthood in battledress

This victory, once achieved is therefore of strategic importance. Constantly demoralizing the enemy is the only way to end their appeal and ability to recruit, fighters, technicians, engineers, propagandists, and financiers. It will also end the first phase of the War on Terror. This was the phase that started with the first attack on the World Trade Center in New – York City, on the 26th of February 1993. This was the fight against the global hierarchical Al-Qaeda, where Osama Bin Laden and Aymann Al Zawahiry were the commanders in chief, and Mullah Omar, their host and protector in Afghanistan, was the one who made it all possible. Under his protection Al-Qaeda became a global army of terrorists, able to perform horrific mass murder attacks worldwide, culminating in 9/11.

However, since Al Qaeda, and other Jihadists organizations, will definitely try to reverse this situation, this victory will launch the third phase of the “War on Terror,” the nuclear phase. The only way they can reverse the impact of an American claim of victory in Afghanistan. Knowing the vengeful nature of Al Zawahiry, who always promises heavy retributions upon the enemies of Islam, his idea of Islam, this phase may have already begun.

What makes these phases unique is that when one begins, the previous one had not necessarily ended. The second phase in the War on Terror, is the fight against regional Al Qaedas, in the Arabian Peninsula, Northwest Africa, etc. It begun with the defeat of Al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan in 2002, and will end when regional forces have the will and the means to crash them. Something that won’t happen without western support and encouragement, and some level of active participation. Fighting the three forms of Al Qaeda at the same time requires developing and implementing different strategies at the same time. That can be as complicated as a war on multiple fronts.

The nature of the war against religious fundamentalism is such that one strategic victory is not enough. If history is a teacher, and it usually is, and a good one, then we, the democracies of this world, are in for a long haul. During the middle ages, when Western Europe was under the spell of religious fanaticism, the Islamic world, the saner side at the time, was able to bring the crusades to an end, by constantly inflicting defeats on them. In a period of nearly three centuries, those defeats had an accumulating effect, which dried out the crusades from supporters and volunteers. Will it take this long this time?

Hard to tell. Today’s holy butchers make a good use of modern communication technologies to enhance the impact of their actions, and to win over recruits. There is no reason why the west shouldn’t use that as well, to enhance the impact of its victories. But the most important lesson from the killing of Osama Bin Laden, is that patient is an asset. Impatience will always play into the hands of the enemy. But if America can claim victory in Afghanistan, which is not the case yet! then there is good reason to believe it can win the War on Terror, in a shorter amount of time then it took to defeat the crusaders. But first, all three must be killed, and not just Bin Laden, until then this is all hypothetical.

Saturday, October 9, 2010

US Israel relationship: The peace process’ beggar’s choice

Seventh in a series of seven
parts: 1  2  3  4  5  6  7

At some point during the Ramat Shlomo/ Dalal Mughrabi crisis, the Obama administration realized that what they were doing was counterproductive, and abruptly stopped their pressure. The administration went as far as blocking the supporting tailwind they got from their own media, another fact indicating there are no anti-Israel intentions behind this administration's policies, or else they would have continued their pressure. What brought this about has been the subject of countless unproven tales, guesses, and speculations. Many have an understandable need to know the full story, but until reliable first hand information comes out, this is futile, a waste of time.

What matters now is to move the peace process forwards. Idealistic as it may sound, peace is the moral and ethical obligation of the elected head of any state founded on the sanctity of life. In the Israeli Palestinian context this peaceful resolution is most likely to be the two states solution. Debate aside; as far as the author of this series is concerned this is the best solution. But more importantly for this discussion, this is the solution the international community publicly committed itself to. The question is how to get there? The answer is, not by haste, not by force, and not by storm, but by constructing workable agreements and understandings on the myriad of lesser issues separating the two peoples. Issues that are less controversial in each society, therefore an agreement is more likely to be reached regarding them. It is known as a peace process from the bottom up. When trust is at extremely low levels the bottom is the only place it can restart. And right now the level of trust is low also between the Israeli public and the current American administration for reason explained earlier in this series, though things may not be as bad as they were earlier this year, 2010.

While the trust of the Israeli public in the current American leadership will be extremely useful in order to gain their trust in the peace process, that is not in the books right now. But that is just a means to an end, the end being regaining the trust in the peace process. And that can be done gradually. If further Israeli concessions do not lead to another wave of violence, more can follow. The peace process will advance measured step by measured step. This is possible due to a point of agreement between Israelis and Americans. The main disagreement here is whether Israel has a peace partner. The Americans are saying yes, but the Israeli experience from the implementation of the Oslo peace process created a lot of skepticism regarding that answer. But the more recent experiences show a Palestinian Authority willing and able to provide security and engaged in economic development. This suggests that Israel at least has a partner for security and economic development and co-operation. This partner for something is the common ground between Israelis and Americans. Even if that something is different as far as each of them believes. Since both Israelis and Americans have the same interest, the two states solution, Israel will not object to use these security and development agreements as a platform for the final resolution of the conflict. All Israelis need is a reasonable amount of confidence nothing dreadful will follow further concessions. Constant success will balance the bad experience from the Oslo years and the skepticism it created. From the point of view of peacemaking this can be the equivalent of the truce Israel had with Egypt and Jordan before the peace agreements with them.

For these renewed process to be successful the settlements freeze must end. The reason for that is plain and obvious, since this moratorium was announced Mahmoud Abbas has entrenched himself so deep in a rejectionist position, in took the pressure of the entire world to get him out of it and into direct talks with the Israeli Prime Minister. And even that only when the moratorium was about to expire. This behavior is the exact opposite of what is expected from a peace partner when gestures are made towards him. One explanation is that he is indeed not a peace partner. True or not, this explanation is highly subjective, based on the highly traumatic Israeli experience. The negotiators should not belittle that experience; they should address it as part of the accountability of the process itself. But Israel on its part must not let the traumas override other concerns and other explanations. The other explanation here has to do with the governability of Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority, or what they might perceive as threats to it.

When it comes to the issue of concessions over the settlements, 17 years of negotiations and concessions taught us that there are two types of concessions, facilitating concessions, and final-resolution concessions. Facilitating concessions facilitate the establishment of an autonomous Palestinian entity, (currently the Palestinian Authority). They include the A regions handed over to the Palestinians at the beginning of the Oslo process. There the Palestinian Authority rules and no settlements activity can take place. And the promise made by the first Netanyahu government to the Clinton administration, not to build new settlements, a decision that prevents the settlements from blocking the territorial continuity of a future Palestinian state. The removal of roadblocks and other travel restrictions are also facilitating concessions. These are also security concessions, and as such contain security risks for Israel and for Israelis.

Final resolution concessions are those related to the core issues of the conflict. They are the issue of the refugees, the fate of Jerusalem, the final status of the settlements, and recognizing Israel's right to exist as the nation state of the Jewish people.

These issues are connected, if the Israeli premier makes a major concession on the settlements issue, an issue that divides the Israeli society and puts his administration on the line; the Palestinian leadership is expected to do the same. But they have constantly proven themselves unable to do so. When former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak offered most of the West Bank in 2000, former Palestinian Authority President Yasser Arafat launched a wave of violence that scarred both nations. When Ehud Olmert offered similar concessions to Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas in 2008, Abbas did not return his calls. And when Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced the settlements freeze – putting all the settlements and their future on the table, Mahmoud Abbas refused to engage in direct talks with him. This is a pattern that shows that the Palestinian leadership cannot take on its own challenging issues. Concessions on issues such as the "right" of return or Palestinian refugees could threaten their leadership and their ability to govern. Adding to the threat already posed by Hamas from the Gaza Strip and from within the West Bank.

The settlement freeze is therefore a threat to the governability of the Palestinian peace partner. But in the long run it is also a threat to the governability of the Israeli peace partner. The settlements freeze is difficult to enforce. Besides the use of means of law enforcement, it requires political and economic pressure on the leadership of the ideological settlers, and the co-operation of the general population of the settlers. And that can be achieved only with a time limit, or a major Palestinian reciprocal gesture, the kind Mahmoud Abbas is unwilling or unable to provide. This pressure in all its forms will finally erode. And the extremists will find a way to bypass these restrictions. They are numerous, they know the terrain better, and they have done it before. The outposts, illegal or not, are a successful method of bypassing the Israeli government’s decision not to built new settlements. And since the settlement freeze includes all the settlements, the longer it continues the more likely it is to push the moderates towards the extremists. Whatever form this resistance will take, the mere images of an unenforceable moratorium will undermine the governability of the Israeli peace partner. This will create two lame duck peace partners, sending to hell the credibility of the peace process, again!

The Israeli Palestinian conflict is a low intensity conflict; therefore it has greater room for mistakes then other trouble spots, but this too will end. It is important to remember that all rulers have their weakness, putting them in a position that enhances their weakness, and they will became lame ducks. And needless to say the peace process won’t work with two lame ducks peace partners.

While it is highly apparent that this stick, the settlement freeze, cannot be pulled out from between the wheels of the peace process without bruising every one involved. After that bruising everyone will have to return to the talks, if they want peace. The solution to the problem created by the settlement freeze is the same type as the solution to the conflict will be. It is a solution where no one is happy, the settlers won’t get the building spree they fantasized about, and those who insisted on a complete settlement freeze will have to stomach low level of construction.

Beside lack of trust, and threats to the governability of the peace partners, a successful peace process must address the opposing narratives each side holds. Right now both Israeli and Palestinian economies are growing. It is a major encouragement for optimism, but until each side tries to understand the other’s narrative, and bridge the two, this optimism is wishful thinking. The opposing narratives are the reason why the core issues are so difficult. They are deep held national consensuses for both sides. And for each political entity it is the source of legitimacy in the eyes of its population, a source of legitimacy for the very existence of that political entity.

The Israeli narrative is the more flexible one, changing somewhat along the political spectrum. However the Palestinian narrative is still refusing to acknowledge any legitimate Israeli claim. But the biggest problem coming from the Palestinian narrative has to do with the role violence. As a strategic weapon the Palestinians had abandoned violence because it had failed disastrously. But the legitimacy of it was not abandoned; on the contrary, it is cherished and preserved by various means. Stone throwing in “non-violent” demonstrations, enforcing violently a boycott of produce from the settlements by burning them rather then returning them and finding alternatives, and commemorating mass murderers like Dalal Mughrabi and Yahya Ayyash, the father of suicide bombings. These are all different expression of the preservation of the sanctity of violence. In each of those actions, there is a component of violence that is not necessary to achieve the declared goal it is used for. For example, like any nation the Palestinians have a right for their own national heroes. But the criterion for these heroes is the high number of unarmed Israeli civilians they killed, rather than individuals who faced overwhelming odds. Even if we accept a claim that says that this practice is not evidence that shows that Mahmoud Abbas and Fatah are not peace partners, we must not forget that the core value of peace is the sanctity of life. Therefore no peace process can stand on the sanctity of violence. This contradiction will either erode or explode any peace agreement.

This may lower the optimism expressed in the mainstream media in the early weeks of September, but how truly optimistic this optimism was? Think of the reasoning that said that this time it would work because both sides are extremely skeptic. This is the same rational as that of a person taking pride in ones own humility. This absurdity is therefore not a sign of hope but another mark of desperation.

In this peace process, all of us who want peace are beggars facing limited choices. We cannot take the choices we yearn for but do not have. It does not mean that we should give up on peace making. It does mean we should treat it like all duties of government, requiring good judgment, accountability, responsibility, realism, and credibility. Even if the actual chances for peace are worse then described here, at the end, all those who want to continue living on this land, Israelis and Palestinians, are beggars as well, facing no choice other then living together. This is another desperate argument, but beggars can’t be choosers. So, as US emissary George Mitchell had said, we need to keep trying. But trying for the sake of trying is not enough, something basic the public debate seems to have missed.

Related link:
Delusions of "peace:" Breaking the conspiracy of silence

Dvar Dea

Previous

US Israel relationships: the making of the Israeli exclamation mark, part 2; unbalancing outreach with go-between

Sixth in a series of seven
parts: 1  2  3  4  5  6  7

Given the state of relationships between the United States and the Muslim world during the Bush era, president Obama's outreach is understandable and logical from both the moral and strategic points of view. But as more gestures were made towards the Arab world the more shunned and alienated Israelis felt. It is not hard to understand why it happened; it is basic human psychology. When one is trying to win over one side that is engaged in a conflict, the other party to that conflict will be apprehensive. And the best oratory and charisma are more likely to magnify this rather then contain it. Contrary to the popular belief oratory and charisma have their limits. There are only two persons that are believed to be able to cross boundaries of conflict and mutual suspicion. They are Jesus and the anti Christ, and president Barack Obama is none of them.

In Cairo on June 4 2009, president Obama had the opportunity to put Israel’s case in front of the Muslim world as a part of his outreach. He used the same arguments George Bush Sr. used on September 23rd 1991, when he got the General Assembly of the United Nations to revoke its infamous resolution equating Zionism with racism. Both of them cited the entire Jewish history of persecutions including the holocaust, as a reason for Israel’s existence. George Bush Sr. was talking to the whole world and convinced most of it, except the Muslim world. Barack Obama was talking only to the Muslim world, the result was the same; no one from that part of the world was convinced.

As far as Israelis are concerned, Israel’s right to exist is not based on pity, but on the right of self-determination. But arguing for that right in front of the Muslim world is risking shaking it and destabilizing it, since many Arab and Muslim countries contain separatist movements within their borders. The office of the American presidency has its limits. So while the Cairo speech was an important effort it gained no political capital, not from the Muslim world and not from the Israeli public opinion.

George Bush Sr. Address to the 46th Session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York City:
UNGA Resolution 3379, the so-called "Zionism is racism" resolution, mocks this pledge and the principles upon which the United Nations was founded. And I call now for its repeal. Zionism is not a policy; it is the idea that led to the creation of a home for the Jewish people, to the State of Israel. And to equate Zionism with the intolerable sin of racism is to twist history and forget the terrible plight of Jews in World War II and, indeed, throughout history. To equate Zionism with racism is to reject Israel itself, a member of good standing of the United Nations

Barack Obama, Cairo speech, June 4th 2009:
America's strong bonds with Israel are well known. This bond is unbreakable. It is based upon cultural and historical ties, and the recognition that the aspiration for a Jewish homeland is rooted in a tragic history that cannot be denied.

Around the world, the Jewish people were persecuted for centuries, and anti-Semitism in Europe culminated in an unprecedented Holocaust. Tomorrow, I will visit Buchenwald, which was part of a network of camps where Jews were enslaved, tortured, shot and gassed to death by the Third Reich. Six million Jews were killed -- more than the entire Jewish population of Israel today. Denying that fact is baseless, it is ignorant, and it is hateful. Threatening Israel with destruction -- or repeating vile stereotypes about Jews -- is deeply wrong, and only serves to evoke in the minds of Israelis this most painful of memories while preventing the peace that the people of this region deserve.
On this background came the Obama's administration new ideas for the peace process. They went as follows, Israel will make gestures to the Palestinians and the Arab countries will repay her by increasing normalization with her. This idea raised more then a few eyebrows in Israel. Why should Israel accept the normalization with other Arab countries in exchange for the concessions it is making to the Palestinians? Shouldn’t the Palestinians offer something in return?

On the Arab side it had a more concrete impact. Usually normalization is something that happens with little to no third party public encouragement. A handful of Arab countries initiate low-key normalization with Israel as a response to progress in the peace process and because of their economic interests. And countries like the United States, or some other European country, do what they can to help. It is always done behind the scenes or with low-key media exposure to avoid pressure from opposition groups and hardline Arab and Islamic countries. By making it a publicly declared US interest the market value of normalization increased. And the Arab states withdrew their product, the normalization that was already taking place, in order to get a better price for it, and the peace process took a step backwards. This forced the United States to invest time and energy in reestablishing the normalization between Israel and the moderate Arab world at the expense of the Israeli-Palestinian track.

Probably in order to put some substance in their overture towards the Muslim world the Americans made their opposition to Israel’s activities in East Jerusalem publicly known, and condemned every Israeli activity there. And they did so even if it meant attacking decisions made by Israel’s supreme court, which meant attacking Israel’s sovereignty. Right or wrong aside, they were introducing a new component to the peace process, micro commenting. They were loudly condemning minor events, the kind of which previous administrations had ignored or made non-confrontational protest against. And this new policy was definitely one sided, because other previously ignored events, such as Hamas motivated rioters throwing stones and bricks from Al Aqsa mosque on Jewish worshipers at the Western Wall, were still been ignored. When Israeli and Jewish representatives asked about this one-sidedness, criticism of the Arab side did come, but it was a part of another one-sided routine. A routine in which Israel was been lambasted publicly, in front of Israeli leaders and representatives and in front of Arab leaders, while the Arab side was been criticized only in front of Israelis or American Jews, with very little media attention. As a result Israelis naturally drifted farther away, but even at the Palestinian side the results were not constructive.


Ignored by the Obama administration.
Hamas motivated rioters throwing cinder blocks on Jewish worshipers at the Western Wall from the Al Aqsa Mosque.
 Source, Yediot Achronot, March 7th 2010, originally from AP & AFP

In the long history of Palestinian internal politics there has always been a competition as to who is the toughest guy against Israel. When both Hamas and Fatah have no military options the competition is mostly verbal. Now the Americans became a third competitor in that contest. And since the Palestinian Authority could not afford appearing less patriotic then the Americans, they took the only harder line position they could, and refused to sit in the same room with the Israelis. Thus the peace process went seven years backwards, as it was before the Aqaba summit, when the leaders of both sides where unable to sit together and talk because of Arafat’s brutal and unreliable policies. Fortunately this time it was only in the diplomatic level and without accompanying brutal violence on the ground.

Then came the Ramat Shlomo crisis. That crisis came to be because the American administration claimed Israel offended them when it announced the planning of 1600 new apartments in the Ramat Shlomo neighborhood in East Jerusalem, at the same day Vice-President Joe Biden was visiting. The Americans objection to the Jewish neighborhoods in East Jerusalem is well known. Been offended by a statement made by a zoning committee of the Jerusalem municipality, a low level of authority, is understandable, but to turn it into an international crisis? Over something that is virtual, since the construction is scheduled for two years after that announcement? Won’t such precedent hijack international relationships by statements made by any low-level functionary or politician?

What turned this puzzlement into a credibility gap was the fact that it did not happen in a vacuum. At that same day the Palestinians were naming a square in Ramallah after one of their heroes, a 19 year-old terroris by the name of Dalal Mugrabi. She was a member of a Palestinian commando unit responsible for the worst terrorist attack on Israeli civilians prior to the era of suicide bombings. In that attack her unit, which landed on the Israeli coast north of Tel Aviv, hijacked two buses, took their passengers hostage, fired at passing vehicles and killed 38 civilians, 11 of them children, ages 2 to 17. The first person they murdered, on the beach they landed on, was the American photographer Gail Rubin. The idea that the glorification of this crime, which took place 32 years to the date prior to Vice-President Biden’s visit, was less offensive then 1600 virtual apartments, is problematic. Why would the glorification of a brutal crime that had happen be less offensive then an announcement of a planned housing project that may or may not take place in the future? What happened to the American stand against terrorism?

terror victim
Gail Rubin

For this unreliable offense the Americans demanded concessions in the city itself. This demand was backed by another argument that was circulated in the international media and the Israeli media. It claimed that after 43 years the United States could not afford looking the other way on this issue. The problem is that this explanation has no legs to stand on. The reason the United States rarely engaged in a head-on confrontation with Israel over the settlements and East Jerusalem was because with Soviet-backed Arab and Palestinian rejectionism the Americans had no alternative to advance. With both the Cold War and the first Gulf War behind him, Secretary of State James Baker had good reason to believe he had such an alternative, and a confrontation between him and Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir’s hardline position did occur. This confrontation ended when Shamir lost the 1992 elections. Later, President Clinton and the late Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin implemented a similar alternative, the Oslo accords. When Arafat literally blow up the peace process that alternative vanished. While it is not clear if under Mahmoud Abbas this alternative had returned, the current security co-operation between Israeli and Palestinian forces makes that possibility probable. However it does not include East Jerusalem, since the Palestinian positions on Jerusalem were never clear. Not during the Oslo years and not now. And the Second Initifada erupted over their rejection of any compromise over the city.


Ramat Shlomo:
Small, and close to the Green Line, even when compared to other Jewish neighborhoods in East Jerusalem.


With no indications that the current Palestinian leadership had changed its position over Jerusalem the Americans had no alternative to advance. Yet in the Ramat Shlomo/ Dalal Mughrabi crisis, they did just that, pushed for concessions without a corresponding alternative. Without an alternative to offer the only other alternative the general public in Israel could look at was the past. And that past is violent and traumatic. By forcing one-sided concessions in Jerusalem they have awakened the memories from the time Jerusalem was divided by an unstable border. This was a border that threatened the existence of Israel and Jerusalem was its political epicenter. By erasing that border the Jewish neighborhoods in East Jerusalem represent a political and psychological rejection and prevention of that past, as well as an expression of a national consensus that sees the unification of the city as a fundamental national right.

The glorification of terrorists like Dalal Mughrarbi is a part of the incitement that creates terrorism, presenting a crime against humanity as an act of heroic patriotism. The Obama administration eventually did protest against that, but made no international crisis out of it. This discrepancy created the impression that this act of incitement is legit or tolerable in the eyes of the American administration. Thus opening the fresh wounds from the spate of suicide bombings produced by such incitement. Since Dalal Mughrabi and her crime is a part of this crisis, her era echoed as well, the era of Ma’alot, Savoy Hotel, Munich, and other Palestinian terrorist attacks on Israeli civilians during the 1970’s. This administration acted as if it has forgotten that the reason to oppose the settlements is to safeguard and maintain the possibility of a vibrant continuous Palestinian state, and not to reawaken Israel’s collective security traumas. Instead they’ve glued themselves to three of the worse of them.

The most probable reason for that misguided decision-making process is an ill-prepared attempt to combine outreach with the position of the go-between. It is possible that these two different goals can be combined; there is simply not enough information in the historical record to say either way. As far as this experiment goes, the result is a failure. The outreach gave no results, but the position of the go-between, essential to the facilitation of a peace process, was jeopardized. Now they are trying to fix that, though they won’t admit it. They are trying to manage the peace process as much as possible by the book of past experience, but there is no book on how to fix a mismanaged peace process.

Dvar Dea


US Israel relationships: the making of the Israeli exclamation mark, part 1, Obama’s triple inheritance

Fifth in a series of seven
parts: 1  2  3  4  5  6  7

Why Israelis don’t trust president Obama?
Why the most likely answer to the question, “Do you trust president Obama?” coming from Israel, especially during mid 2010, is not just ‘no,’ but ’no!’?
A part of the explanation is the role of the media and the Internet, explained here and here. The other part is the Palestinian component. Two other parts have to do with president Obama, and they are explained in this article and the following one.

The survey quoted by Katie Couric in the Benjamin Netanyahu interview on July 7 2010, said 71% of Israeli Jews don’t like president Obama. The word ‘like’ is a general term that does not disclose the causes of this emotion. Another survey made around that time by the 'Dahaf Institute', had found out that 24% of Israelis consider president Obama an anti-Semite. A finding that is considered unprecedented.

[The 'Dahaf Institute' is a leading Israeli marketing and research firm known for its political and social surveys. This survey was published in the current affairs program ‘Shovrim Kelim’ in the Knesset Channel, the cable channel of the Israeli parliament. This TV program is hosted by the head of the institute Dr. Mina Tzemach and Roni Milo, the former mayor of Tel – Aviv and former government minister.] 

Given the history of the Jewish people, there are always those who see all foreign heads of states as anti-Semites, so some percentage of suspicious people is always expected, but 24% is considered to be higher then usual. At the same time it hardly represents the entire 71%. What it is more likely is that this is an indicator of the general feelings at the time of the survey, June 2010. If the majority of Israeli Jews don’t trust president Obama, a greater percentage than usual is more likely to believe he is an anti Semite. Others will see him as pro-Palestinian, or point to the ideological differences between him and Prime Minister Netanyahu as the source of policies many couldn’t understand and could not trust. And the lack of it is what all these explanations have in common.

Those who are writing off the entire 71% as people that regard president Obama as an anti-Semite are making life easy for themselves. Just as they do when they put heavy weight on the president’s middle name, Hussein, as the cause of the Israelis’ apprehension. Hussein is a common name in the Middle East, and Israelis encounter it on many different occasions. On one side there was Saddam Hussein of Iraq, who promised to burn half of Israel, after his long war with Iran ended. On the other side there was the late king Hussein of Jordan. He is the second Arab head of state to sign a peace agreement with Israel, and a moderate ruler who survived most of his radical enemies. This achievement gave him the respect of many people including a lot of Israelis. When on March 13 1997 a Jordanian soldier murdered 7 Israeli schoolgirls in Naharayim on the Israeli Jordanian border, the king came to Israel with his royal entourage to visit the families of the victims, to express his condolences and to condemn the act. It was an act that showed determination, courage and leadership and left a strong impact on the Israeli public, even among those who hate Arabs.

So while this middle name did create some unease, it did not create the wave of panic the extreme right in Israel tried to make from it, and that the Israel-bashers claim exist. There were other more serious factors. As explained earlier in this series some of the causes are inherited from the previous administrations. The collapse of the Oslo accords during the tenure of Bill Clinton, and Hamas’ takeover of Gaza after the disengagement from Gaza, had demonstrated to the Israelis the limits of the power of the office of the American presidency. It cannot make the Palestinians want peace. Since eventually all peace processes boils down to the intentions of the adversaries.

But just as Barack Obama is the heir of George W. Bush and Bill Clinton, he is also the representative of the large camp of George W. Bush’s critics. And that large camp wasn’t made up just of the American Democratic Party and its supporters. As the protest against the Iraq War grew in the United States and across the world, the Democratic Party and most of the mainstream American left failed to distinguish between those who opposed the war because of reasons of legality and strategic wisdom, and those who opposed it simply because they hate America and oppose everything the United States does. An important characteristic of that last group is that they hate Israel as well, burning Israeli flags alongside American flags. But Israelis did notice this. They saw on television and on the Internet, George W. Bush subjected to vile spectacles of hatred, were his effigy was burned, lynched, and he himself was compared to Hitler. All that was done by people that hated Israel and its elected leaders in the same fashion. This naturally created sympathy for him and helped bolster his image as the only foreign had of state sticking up for Israel at a time Israelis were attacked at their streets and in their homes. But the inability of the mainstream American left to separate themselves from those expressions of hate created suspicion towards them. And since Barack Obama is the elected leader of the Democratic Party, he inherited that as well.

Bush bashing
Bush-hate fest, a small sample

And then there is Barack Obama’s personal inheritance, the only one discussed in the mainstream media. That  inheritance is his past association with the reverend Jeremiah Wright, a known Israel-basher, and former PLO adviser and major BDS campaigner professor Rashid Khalidi.

Jeremiah Wright and Rashid Khalidi
            Jeremiah Wright and Rashid Khalidi

Were president Obama and his advisers aware of these apprehensions?
The later? Most likely. The others? Unknown.

The desire to bridge this suspicion is probably part of the reason for the huge military and political investment in Israel’s security. This investment includes weaponry, joint training of the two countries armed forces, the acceptance of Israel to the OECD, the financing of Iron Dome, And the backing Israel’s policy of nuclear ambiguity. The most important support is the constant pressure on the international community regarding the Iranian threat. Part of the reason for all of this is to overcome the said mistrust. But the huge effort behind them shows a commitment to Israel’s security, because without it such an effort would not have been possible. Others may dispute this, but this dispute is largely due to ideological convictions, and as consequence of the turmoil that had taken place in March 2010. Turmoil that had taken place because commitment is not enough to win over a people’s trust, understanding them is needed in order to translate that commitment to tangible terms. This, the American administration failed to do. They understood that Iran is the biggest strategic threat to Israel, but sidelined the fact that most of the actual killing of Israelis was done by Iran’s Palestinians and Lebanese proxies.

Dvar Dea



US Israel relationships a seven parts series:
The public debate, correcting a favorable picture
The public debate, Israel and the war on terror
The Palestinian component
The right wing component
The Israeli exclamation mark, Obama's triple inheritance
The Israeli exclamation mark, unbalancing outreach w go-between
The peace process' beggars' choice

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Richard Goldstone’s contradicting company

Judge Richard Goldstone told Israeli television that the UN is indeed biased against Israel. This gesture towards Israel is contrasted by the anti-Israel bias of the other members of his commission. This became obvious first with professor Christine Chinkin who signed a public letter that was published in the 'Times of London,' which condemned Israel for war crimes, while the war was ongoing. It described Israel’s defense of its citizens as uncalled for, even though Israel refrained from action during eight months of constant bombardment of its population centers in the south by Hamas. The last to surface was Colonel Desmond Travers, the mission’s only military expert. A retired officer of the Irish army, he served in numerous peacekeeping duties including UNIFIL. As was revealed by Dore Gold and retired Lt. Colonel Jonathan Dahoah Halevi, this former peacekeeper accused Israel in advance of deliberately killing civilians in Gaza, and as many as possible according to him. He refused to accept any Israeli evidence submitted to the commission. He claimed that such evidence is unreliable even though he could not prove it. He also accused Israel of deliberately killing Irish soldiers serving in UNIFIL: "taken out and deliberately shot". This accusation is so far unique to him, since an Internet search found no other mention of this charge. Whatever the reasons for his prejudgment, he is clearly not objective and is hostile towards Israel.

The remaining member of the commission, Hina Jilani, is a lawyer with the Pakistani Supreme Court and veteran human rights and women’s rights campaigner in her country. While it is possible that she is capable of objectivity towards Israel, such objectivity will be by Pakistani standards. In Pakistan, Israel is as reviled as much as India, and religious tension begets mass terrorism and violence. It is unlikely that one would find people there who would speak on behalf India or Israel. By contrast, in Israel there are many advocates of the Palestinian cause, but nobody would expect an Israeli to be an objective judge in a case involving an Arab or Muslim country.

It is apparent that people who have anti-Israel bias surround Judge Goldstone. It is most evident when we look at the other members of his commission, but that is not where this ends. Have a look at the ‘Institute for Criminal Investigations’ or ICI, where he serves along with Colonel Desmond Travers and Hina Jilani. This is a consultative body to the ‘International Criminal Court’ in the Hague, and one of its distinguished members is professor Cherif Bassiouni of DePaul University, a colleague of Goldstone from the Yugoslavia years. (In Yugoslavia, he served as chairman of the Security Council's commission to investigate war crimes from 1992-1994 with Goldstone, who was the chief prosecutor.) Like Judge Goldstone, Professor Bassiouni is a heavyweight in the human rights community, and was nominated for the Nobel Prize for peace in 1999. He is also a cosignatory of the public letter condemning Israel of war crimes in advance, along with Christine Chinkin and Richard Falk. Falk, the UNHRC Special Rapporteur on Conditions in the Occupied Palestinian Territories, is the best and most extreme example of the UN anti-Israel bias, see YouTube link below.

Goldstone Report


Another association to look at is that of like-minded people. Distinguished persons like Arye Neier, whose views regarding the role of international law and human rights in this post 9/11 world have some common themes with those of judge Goldstone. This became evident at the ‘Empire and Liberty Project’ event at the ‘Carnegie Council on Ethics in International Affairs,’ in March 2004, which they both attended.

Aryeh Neier is a former senior member in the ACLU and cofounder of ‘Human Rights Watch’, where he was the vice chairman for 12 years. Currently he is the head of the ‘Open Society’ and president of the ‘Soros Foundation,’ which forms another complete circle, because organizations funded by George Soros are advancing ‘The Goldstone Report’ in Washington DC. (Heather Ryan of the ‘Open Society’ also serves in the ICI along with Goldstone and the others mentioned above.)

Aryeh Neier has no evident anti-Israel obsession, but whenever ‘Human Rights Watch’ was criticized for mistreating Israel he was there to defend, whether over Lebanon or Gaza. Even when it came from the cofounder of ‘Human Rights Watch’, Robert L. Bernstein. Bernstein`s criticism, pointed to Israel being an open society where human rights and human rights awareness can be advanced through open dialogue and education. He pointed to the need to deny moral equivalency to tyrannies that will only use it to justify and excuse their suppression of human rights in their countries.

Neier's response was to point out who is the lawyer among the two, (he is), and who is just a book vendor/publisher. He also made the bewildering suggestion that the United States was an open society during the days of slavery and racial segregation. This skewed view of history, skewed to the right by the way, has no bearing on the issue at hand because it belongs to the category of countries mistreating their own people and has nothing to do with the current dilemmas facing Israel and other democracies, that need to balance their security with concern to the civilian population in enemy-held territory.

Arye Neier belittled the concern over the exaggerated emphasis on Israel, as "dismissing democracy with a slap on the hand," a view echoed by Judge Goldstone in the interview he gave to Christiane Amanpour in her current-affairs program on CNN in September 30th 2009, and a false representation of Bernstein criticism. Not surprisingly, Neier is one of the defenders of the Goldstone report.

The ‘Empire and Liberty project’ at the Carnegie Council was aimed at confronting the new threats to human rights in this new era. No small challenge indeed and one that must never be trifled with. Before 9/11 human rights organizations focused on how governments treat the individual. After 9/11 a third factor entered the equation, the terrorist organizations, whose faith and practices are aimed at abolishing human rights completely, but whose members deserve protection of their human rights against the governments fighting them. Measures such as Guantanamo Bay, and ‘The Patriot Act’ represent serious human rights dilemmas, whether we agree with them or not. These are dilemmas, which the state of Israel and its judiciary are all too familiar with. And undeniably many governments around the world do use the war on terror as an excuse to put the squeeze on their citizens' liberties. This requires the human rights community and its experts to be prosecutors, defenders, judges, legislators, and counsel to all of them. However, at the Carnegie Council in March 2004, none of its distinguished participants rose to the occasion. Judge Richard Goldstone and Arye Neier had two dominating themes in their message: “promotion of democracy only through international law” and “democracy compliance,” an uncomfortable combination of words from a democratically concerned point of view.

But what is most noticeable is what wasn’t in their remarks. The first was a lack of alternative to the much criticized Guantanamo Bay and ‘The Patriot Act’. This is not some vague omission unique to these two men at that one long-ago event. This is a characteristic of the entire camp of critics of the Bush administration human rights policies during the war on terror. As a result of this deficiency the Obama administration cannot close Guantanamo Bay, and had even extended ‘The Patriot Act’; all because during Bush’s two terms in office none of his critics had ever searched for alternatives. This now leaves the Obama administration improvising from scratch.

What is of great concern to Israel, government and citizenry, is the lack of reference to the corruption of international law. And what can be more corrupt than a human rights council dominated by the worst human rights abusers? This is something that had existed in 2004 as well. Neier resolved this concern by the suggesting that the governments that had entered into the agreements that produced international law would take care of that, governments, which earlier in that conference were criticized on those very issues.


Goldstone Report

Neier also described suicide bombings as an act of desperation, saying that therefore nothing can be done about them. This ‘no we cannot’ approach is false; suicide bombing is the product of brainwashing and pressure. Worse than that, his faulty reasoning comes from Palestinian propaganda intended to justify the horrific wave of suicide bombings Israelis were subjected to from 2001 to 2004. Here it rationalizes his do-nothing approach. But what is really shocking is Neier’s view on the preemptive use of force as a part of the right to self-defense. While he acknowledges that the current international law allows it, he would prefer a more restrictive approach, allowing military intervention only when an attack is imminent or when there is genocide. If preemptive military intervention fails there may not be enough time for plan B when the threat is imminent, which may lead the side trying to prevent an attack to take more desperate measures that can inflict greater harm on civilians. And if genocide had just begun, then by the time a military intervention begins to take effect, there will be at least several hundred individuals for whom this will be too late, much, much too late.

Goldstone Report
This Goldstone-Neier approach of focus on governments carries another troubling risk, the risk of losing sight of who else is confronting one of those governments alongside the human rights organizations. It can be someone like Moazzem Begg, a former Taliban fighter; released from Guantanamo Bay, who is currently advancing fundamentalist ideologies in Great Britain. And Amnesty International UK branch had no problems collaborating with him. (This makes me wonder whether Ravi Nair of the above-mentioned ICI who used to work with Amnesty International in London, shares this focus on government approach. This by no means suggests he has anything to do with that particular episode.)

Debating Dore Gold at Brandeis University on November 5, 2009, Goldstone tried to defend the membership of Christine Chinkin in the commission, despite the fact that she had prejudged the issue by signing a declaration against alleged Israeli "war crimes. He claimed that the situation was obvious based on the reports of Al-Jazeera, which he took to be an unbiased news source. That is perhaps because, as he stated, Al-Jazeera is a respected news medium in his own country of South-Africa. However, both Al-Jazeera and South-Africa are not known for their sympathy towards Israel. And if he truly respects Al-Jazeera, that suggests that his ability to identify bias in the news he receives is severely jeopardized, and the same thing can apply to his relationships with other members of his commission, as well as the ICI.

None of this suggests that Judge Richard Goldstone is not as Zionist as he claims to be. As senior Israeli journalist Yaron London has said several times, there is nothing in Goldstone’s record to suggest otherwise. The question that does arise however is more fundamental than that. Is it even possible in such conditions, such surroundings, in such atmosphere of hostility, for a human being, any human being, to maintain objectivity, and if so how much of it?

Why would Judge Richard Goldstone acquit Israel of his own charges?

Think of how he repeatedly described his report, as legally non-binding, of having no legal value whatsoever. If so, then what was the fact-finding mission all about, and on the same note, why file criminal charges against Israeli officials if the person behind the report keeps saying it has no legal merit? Does he know it won’t withstand any decent scrutiny?

There is also his reference to the repressive nature of Hamas, which he made at the Brandeis debate: “I was afraid to enter Gaza. I had nightmares that Hamas would kidnap me and that the Israelis would rejoice.” There is some worthy criticism of nasty and dishonorable segments of the Israeli society, which do exist, but there is also awareness on his part of the repressive nature of Hamas. Such repression, as in any tyranny, has the ability to get to witnesses and influence their testimony in more ways than one, something that he, as a South-African who spent most of his life and professional carrier under its repressive Apartheid regime, would know about. Yet what did he do about it? Apparently there was nothing he could do: “We got completely unsatisfactory response from Hamas… We asked them where the rockets are fired from, the answer from Hamas, we don’t know it’s the military wing. We asked them about Gilad Shalit, answer, don’t bother us that’s the military wing. Very shrewdly adopted this divorce when one hand don’t know what the other hand on the same body can do.” If they could not get a response from the armed wing of Hamas on those basic questions or any other account of their conduct, how could they tell if they were not influencing the witnesses?

Another possible reason the ‘Goldstone Report’ has no legal value is that the charge “disproportionate use of force” is not at all clear, as demonstrated by Judge Goldstone's tormented response to a question on that very issue, even though he claimed otherwise:

“Proportionality has nothing to do with comparing what one side uses and the other side uses, its got nothing to do, proportionality is what proportionate to the military advantage sought and the number of innocent civilians killed. Let me give you a simple example, if there is an ammunition factory in the middle of Austria(?) and a 1000 pound bomb can take out that ammunition factory, which is a military target, and 100 civilians are killed or a 2,000 bomb can do the same to the military factory and kill 5000, the first is proportionate, not a war crime, the second disproportionate, a war crime. …

…What would be a proportionate response? It’s a question that gave me many, many hours of sleepless nights. What is proportionate response to asymmetric situation? It may well be, is a commando operation, that may be, but that cost lives, it is a political question that the Israeli government and the Israeli military would have to tell you. A proportionate response may be to bomb the place were Israeli intelligence has information where the rockets are stored, as long as its proportionate to the military aim. But if it’s disproportionate, bombs, white phosphorus, flechettes are used, and anti-personal munitions that are designed to kill people; and not to destroy buildings, and not to destroy rockets and ammunition. It is not something we have to decide fortunately. We have to decide what action was proportionate what action was disproportionate.”


The opening sentence in this transcript contradicts the accusing letter published in the ‘Times of London,’ which was signed by his two colleagues Christine Chinkin and Cherif Bassiouni, which accused Israel of war crimes by comparing "what one side uses and the other side uses."

The example Goldstone gave gives Israel the license to level an entire neighborhood from the air if enemy combatants and weaponry are barricaded in it.

The criterion “as long as it’s proportionate to the military aim” is how the judiciary in Israel, military and civilian, is reviewing such operations; it is a case-by-case examination, comparing and examining thoroughly numerous factors in each operation. He finally settled on a weapons-based criterion, a criterion subject to manipulation, since a case can be made for and against any weapon, and a good propagandist can argue for the nuclear bomb and against the use of non-lethal weapons.

Judge Goldstone's confusion is due to many factors. The first is that this is truly a tormenting experience; it is not easy to decide what is disproportionate and what is not disproportionate, the moral and ethical dilemmas tear apart any decent person, and he is a decent person. The second reason, is that as his own answer demonstrates “disproportionate use of force” is a loose term, much like “amount to a war crime” and “self-hating Jew.” It is an open rubric where everyone can put in whatever they want. The other reason, is that, unlike former Chief Supreme Court justice Aharon Barak, he does not have a lot of experience with the chaos of war situations. Israel has accumulated nearly 60 years of experience with such torturing dilemmas, and the UN?

Goldstone Report


Finally, there is his ‘focus on government approach’, which means that prior to the events in Gaza he gave little-to-no attention to these dilemmas, and as a result he has no clearly constructed criterion of his own. And when there is no professional criterion to apply, other, more political and ideological criteria take its place, such as the hostility of the other members of his commission towards Israel.

Goldstone Report

Related links:
Richard Goldstone and Dore Gold discuss the U.N. Gaza Report at Brandeis, use the word ‘proportionate’ at the automated transcript option and listen.
Stephanie Gutmann: In rebuking Israel and letting Hamas off the hook, the UN's Goldstone Report is a gift to world terrorism
Richard Falk on 'Al Jazeera English' talks like a Palestinian ultra nationalist.